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Euro: slow start and fast drive. Analysis as of 27.10.2020

Euro: slow start and fast drive. Analysis as of 27.10.2020

Weekly fundamental forecast for euro

There are a few reasons for the EURUSD’s drop to the bottom of figure 18: the US stock indexes’ fall amid loss of faith in fiscal stimuli and record-high growth of new cases in the USA; disappointing macrostatistics in Germany, and fears that the ECB may expand QE as early as in October. Investors were expecting the second wave of COVID-19, but they didn’t know it would come so fast. The record high growth of new cases in the USA, France, and Russia, the introduction of new restrictions, and emergency announcements in some European countries made the S&P 500 fall by 1.9%. The German DAX went further and dropped 3.7 %, drawing the euro down too.
The increase in new coronavirus cases in Germany provoked the Ifo’s Business Climate Index’s fall, the first in six months. It’s a bad signal about an eventual slump after a 6-month recovery. Growing risks of a double recession and reflation may urge the ECB to expand QE by €500 billion already on 29 October, in contrast to the Bloomberg experts’ bet on December. That will be an unpleasant surprise for EURUSD bulls.

German business climate index


Source: Bloomberg.

ECB bond-buying dynamics

Source: Bloomberg.
The States look preferable to the eurozone, which lost illusions about fast recovery. Three months ago, Bloomberg surveyed economists forecast that the US GDP would grow 18% in Q3. The estimate rose to 31.8% by the publication date against a backdrop of a large fiscal stimulus as a faster-than-expected removal of restrictions. If the fiscal stimulus isn’t extended, the US double recession chance will be as big as in Europe.
The market doesn’t believe in any extra support before the elections and has already started to doubt that the issue will be resolved after 3 November as a blue wave is becoming less likely. That results in the S&P 500’s fall, which contradicts history. Since 1928, the stock index has closed in the green zone in the week before the presidential election. If we take a Tuesday to Friday period, the indicator will increase by up to 91%. Thus, the week's bad start isn’t as bad a signal for the stock market and the euro.
Not only will Joe Biden’s victory inspire S&P 500 bulls, but it will also reduce the risk of a trade war resumption, the reason for which may be China’s slow execution of its obligations under January’s agreement. According to Bloomberg, China has bought $65.5 billion in US goods, while the agreement is $170 billion.

China’s fulfillment of trade obligations


Source: Bloomberg.
The Democrats’ victory will weaken the US protectionism and allow the global trade to breathe deeply. That’s good news for the export-oriented eurozone and its currency.

Weekly trading plan for EURUSD

S&P 500’s fall on 26 October should be interpreted as market noise. The story is likely to repeat itself, and the stock index will close in the green zone in the last week before the election.
The strategy for the EURUSD remains the same. Buy at a breakout of resistance at 1.1865.
For more information follow the link to the website of the LiteForex
https://www.liteforex.com/blog/analysts-opinions/euro-slow-start-and-fast-drive-analysis-as-of-27102020/?uid=285861726&cid=62423
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Euro is rolling down. Forecast as of 16.10.2020

Euro is rolling down. Forecast as of 16.10.2020
The EURUSDis being corrected down amid several negative factors. They are growing political risks in the USA, the second pandemic wave in Europe, and the high risk of a no-deal Brexit. Let us discuss how bad the situation is and male up a EURUSD trading plan.

Weekly euro fundamental forecast

The EURUSD is down to its two-week low for several reasons. The US stock indexes have been trading down for three consecutive days; additional restrictions are introduced in Paris and London because of COVID-19. Besides, the EU officials announce that agreeing a "fair" new partnership with Britain was "worth every effort" but that the bloc would not compromise at any cost, which sends the pound down. The euro bulls are trying to consolidate the price at the bottom of figure 17, betting on China’s rebound and the ECB’s unwillingness to boost the monetary stimulus before December.
China has attracted $6 billion in the dollar-backed obligations, which repeats the record of 2019. According to the median forecast of the financial analysts polled by the Wall Street Journal, China’s GDP will grow by 5.3% Y-o-Y in the third-quarter report, which is much higher than in the April-June period (+3.2%) and close to the data recorded in 2019 (6.1%). The foreign demand for Chinese securities and the optimism about economic rebound allowed the yuan to compensate for most losses resulted from PBoC’s FX interventions. These facts support the euro.
The euro bulls are also encouraged by the ECB’s unwillingness to expand the monetary stimulus at its October meeting. Despite a sharp downturn of the euro-area economy amid the second pandemic waves, the ECB officials believe there is no need yet to ease the monetary policy. According to the head of the Bank of Holland, Klaas Knot, the regulator needs additional information. The ECB Vice-President Luis de Guindos believes that since less than half of the money in the QE framework has been spent, there is no need to boost asset purchases.

ECB monetary stimulus spending


https://preview.redd.it/esnb9ht5dgt51.jpg?width=583&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=dd293647240a19596f885ecf8728551baa93c363
Source: Bloomberg
The euro is supported by the fact that China’s economy is growing, and the ECB is unlikely to take active measures. However, the dollar demand increases amid the political uncertainty in the US associated with a lower global risk appetite, which sets the EURUSD bulls back.
The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits rose by 898 thousand in the week ended October 10th, proving the US labor market needs an additional fiscal stimulus. A poor reading has sent the S&P 500 down and strengthened the greenback. Investors still bet on the Democrats’ victory on November 3. However, they are not willing to buy US stocks now, as they remember how Hillary Clinton, who was leading in the ratings, eventually lost to Donald Trump. If the US stock indices continue falling, the market situation will be similar to that of 2017. At that time, the ECB, discontent with the euro strengthening, used verbal interventions, and the pair failed to consolidate above 1.2.

Dynamics of EURUSD in 2017 and 2020


https://preview.redd.it/ck7knoc6dgt51.png?width=593&format=png&auto=webp&s=e04a6232ebb77be11ea89114fb412fd900e69381
Source: Nordea Markets

Weekly EURUSD trading plan

Remarkably, the EURUSD trend depends on the pound now. The UK is discontent with the EU's willingness to prepare for a no-deal Brexit can drop the GBPUSD deeper and send the euro towards $1.159-$1.162. I suggest one continue holding down the EURUSD shorts entered at level 1.178.
For more information follow the link to the website of the LiteForex
https://www.liteforex.com/blog/analysts-opinions/euro-is-rolling-down-forecast-as-of-16102020/?uid=285861726&cid=62423
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US stock market indices up are going up

US stock market indices up are going up
US stock indexes rose on Monday trading amid optimism around US-China trade negotiations and better-than-expected corporate reporting. Still, a drop in Boeing stocks limited the rise in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
https://preview.redd.it/9nb5kzyqu2u31.png?width=956&format=png&auto=webp&s=5c451201b1b0928366271bc6d99d1630132be170
The Dow Jones Industrial Average index based on trading on Monday rose by 57.44 points (0.21%) and amounted to 26927.64 points.
Standard & Poor's 500 climbed 20.52 points (0.69%) to 3006.72 points. The Nasdaq Composite added 73.44 points (0.91%) to 8162.99 points.
Meanwhile, the third-quarter corporate reporting season continues in the United States. Of the approximately 75 S&P 500 companies that have already published reports, 82.7% exceeded expectations, and only 12% disappointed Wall Street, according to Refinitiv.
This week, 130 S&P 500 companies, or a quarter of the S&P 500 companies, will present their financial results.
Shares of the American aircraft concern Boeing Co (NYSE: BA). fell 3.8%, continuing to decline after falling to a two-month low on reports that the company misled the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) about the safety of the Boeing 737 Max.
Securities of American Halliburton Co (NYSE: HAL). increased by 6.4%. The profit of the second-largest oilfield services company in the world in the third quarter of 2019 coincided with analysts' forecasts, while revenue fell more than expected.
Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) added 1.7% as Raymond James raised its target price to $ 280 per paper from $ 250 in anticipation of the quarterly report.
You can find more information about the stock market, commodity market, and FOREX on the ITRADER site.
This material is considered a marketing communication and does not contain, and should not be construed as containing, investment advice or an investment recommendation or, an offer of or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 84.16% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Legal Information: ITRADER is operated by Hoch Capital Ltd., a Cypriot Investment Firm (CIF), authorized and regulated by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) under the license no. 198/13, in accordance with the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID II).
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US stock markets closed the week up

US stock markets closed the week up
US stock indicators on Friday changed slightly and in different directions but showed the maximum weekly rise since June.
https://preview.redd.it/jasjhoxdi4q31.png?width=1000&format=png&auto=webp&s=fb57279cae142f1109a1628ee8654300cd91c463
The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 41.03 points (0.16%) to close the market and amounted to 26403.28 points. Standard & Poor's 500 increased by 1.88 points (0.06%) - up to 2926.46 points. Nasdaq Composite lost 10.51 points (0.13%) and amounted to 7962.88 points.
Tesla shares (NASDAQ: TSLA) on Friday rose by 1.8% on information that the Chinese authorities will exempt company cars from a 10 percent sales tax. Previously, only cars manufactured in China were exempted from tax. Beijing took such a measure after a visit to the country by the head of Tesla, Elon Musk. The company is investing about $ 7 billion in the construction of a car manufacturing plant in Shanghai.
Quotes of the owner of the cosmetics chain store Ulta Beauty (NASDAQ: ULTA) Inc. collapsed by almost 30% after the company worsened its forecast for annual profits.
Big Lots (NYSE: BIG) discount retailer shares jumped by 3.4% thanks to the company's reliable quarterly reporting.
Campbell Soup's capitalization was up 3.9%. The American food producer increased adjusted earnings per share by 14% in the 4th fiscal quarter, stronger than market forecasts.
Dell Technologies Inc. Papers rose by 10.2%. The company's quarterly earnings exceeded market forecasts thanks to high sales of laptops and desktops.
The market value of the manufacturer of microchips Marvell Technology Group is reduced by 0.7%. The company's second-quarter earnings exceeded analysts' expectations, but its outlook for the current quarter was weak.
The US indices ended August with a decline: according to the results of the month, the Dow Jones fell by 1.7%, the S&P 500 - by 1.8%, Nasdaq - by 2.6%. A monthly decline in the US stock market was noted for the first time since May, and only the second time since the beginning of 2019, MarketWatch writes.
Over the week, the Dow Jones grew by 3%, the S&P 500 - by 2.8%, Nasdaq - by 2.7%.
You can find more information about the stock market, commodity market, and FOREX on the ITRADER site.
This material is considered a marketing communication and does not contain, and should not be construed as containing, investment advice or an investment recommendation or, an offer of or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 84.16% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Legal Information: ITRADER is operated by Hoch Capital Ltd., a Cypriot Investment Firm (CIF), authorized and regulated by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) under the license no. 198/13, in accordance with the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID II).
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US stock indices fell 0.3-1.1% due to statistic data

US stock indices fell 0.3-1.1% due to statistic data
American stock indices closed lower on Friday, investors evaluated statistics, and also followed the course of the trade conflict between the US and China and the development of events in Washington.
https://preview.redd.it/3m6dj3ffsqp31.png?width=770&format=png&auto=webp&s=6ff5c88fcd7643425346d60fdebdda247ff542bf
US income rose by 0.4% in August from the previous month after rising 0.1% in July. Meanwhile, the rate of increase in spending by the Americans slowed to a minimum for six months and amounted to 0.1% against 0.5% in July. Analysts on average estimated revenue growth last month at 0.5%, spending by 0.3%, according to MarketWatch.
The PCE Core (Personal Consumption Expenditures, Excluding Food & Energy) index in August did not change monthly and grew by 1.4% on an annualized basis. Analysts had expected the first indicator to rise by 0.1%. The Federal Reserve targets the general PCE index for all goods and services, but when assessing inflation risks, it draws attention to the PCE Core.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average index fell 70.87 points (0.26%) and amounted to 26820.25 points on September 27.
Standard & Poor's 500 decreased by 15.83 points (0.53%) - up to 2961.79 points. Nasdaq Composite lost 91.03 points (1.13%) and amounted to 7939.63 points.
Micron Technology Inc Stock Price (NASDAQ: MU). fell by 11.09% after the chip manufacturer recorded another decline in profit and gave a disappointing forecast for the holiday season.
Shares of Wells Fargo Bank (NYSE: WFC) went up by 3.77%. As it became known on Friday, Charles Sharf, until recently the head of the Bank of New York Mellon, was appointed CEO and President of Wells Fargo.
Pfizer securities (NYSE: PFE) Inc. rose by 1.23%, as the pharmaceutical giant announced the success of clinical trials of a drug for the treatment of dermatitis.
You can find more information about the stock market, commodity market, and FOREX on the ITRADER site.
This material is considered a marketing communication and does not contain, and should not be construed as containing, investment advice or an investment recommendation or, an offer of or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 84.16% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Legal Information: ITRADER is operated by Hoch Capital Ltd., a Cypriot Investment Firm (CIF), authorized and regulated by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) under the license no. 198/13, in accordance with the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID II).
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US stock markets closed the week up

US stock markets closed the week up
US stock indicators on Friday changed slightly and in different directions but showed the maximum weekly rise since June.

https://preview.redd.it/d8cbbd204ck31.jpg?width=770&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=be823c737a81224a80f44979a751fefc199b7246
The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 41.03 points (0.16%) to close the market and amounted to 26403.28 points. Standard & Poor's 500 increased by 1.88 points (0.06%) - up to 2926.46 points. Nasdaq Composite lost 10.51 points (0.13%) and amounted to 7962.88 points.
Tesla shares (NASDAQ: TSLA) on Friday rose by 1.8% on information that the Chinese authorities will exempt company cars from a 10 percent sales tax. Previously, only cars manufactured in China were exempted from tax. Beijing took such a measure after a visit to the country by the head of Tesla, Elon Musk. The company is investing about $ 7 billion in the construction of a car manufacturing plant in Shanghai.
Quotes of the owner of the cosmetics chain store Ulta Beauty (NASDAQ: ULTA) Inc. collapsed by almost 30% after the company worsened its forecast for annual profits.
Big Lots (NYSE: BIG) discount retailer shares jumped by 3.4% thanks to the company's reliable quarterly reporting.
Campbell Soup's capitalization was up 3.9%. The American food producer increased adjusted earnings per share by 14% in the 4th fiscal quarter, stronger than market forecasts.
Dell Technologies Inc. Papers rose by 10.2%. The company's quarterly earnings exceeded market forecasts thanks to high sales of laptops and desktops.
The market value of the manufacturer of microchips Marvell Technology Group is reduced by 0.7%. The company's second-quarter earnings exceeded analysts' expectations, but its outlook for the current quarter was weak.
The US indices ended August with a decline: according to the results of the month, the Dow Jones fell by 1.7%, the S&P 500 - by 1.8%, Nasdaq - by 2.6%. A monthly decline in the US stock market was noted for the first time since May, and only the second time since the beginning of 2019, MarketWatch writes.
Over the week, the Dow Jones grew by 3%, the S&P 500 - by 2.8%, Nasdaq - by 2.7%.
You can find more information about the stock market, commodity market, and FOREX on the ITRADER site.
This material is considered a marketing communication and does not contain, and should not be construed as containing, investment advice or an investment recommendation or, an offer of or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 84.16% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Legal Information: ITRADER is operated by Hoch Capital Ltd., a Cypriot Investment Firm (CIF), authorized and regulated by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) under the license no. 198/13, in accordance with the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID II).
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US stock indexes increased by 1.2-1.4%

US stock indexes increased by 1.2-1.4%
US stock indexes rose on Tuesday, recouping part of the fall in previous days, due to a new round of tension in trade relations between the US and China.
https://preview.redd.it/e1rugjl3a8f31.png?width=800&format=png&auto=webp&s=fe90c3621299ad0ab2bf093b922c5f97e3e2ca1c
The number of open vacancies in the US in June fell to 7.35 million, compared with 7.38 million a month earlier, according to data released on Tuesday by the Department of Labor. Nevertheless, the figure exceeds the mark of 7 million already following the results of 15 consecutive months.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average on Monday rose by 311.78 points (1.21%) - up to 26029.52 points.
Standard & Poor's 500 increased by 37.03 points (1.30%), amounting to 2881.77 points.
The value of the Nasdaq Composite as a result of trading rose 107.23 points (1.39%) - up to 7833.27 points.
Standard & Poor's 500 ended the decline period, which lasted six consecutive days, thanks to rising stock prices of technology and telecommunications companies, according to MarketWatch. In particular, the value of Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) (+ 1.9%), Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU) (+ 1.6%), Nike (NYSE: NKE) (+ 3%) shows a significant increase due to its presence in the market of China.
The second-largest payment system in the world, Mastercard (NYSE: MA), announced the purchase of Danish technology company Nets A / S for 2.85 billion euros ($ 3.19 billion). Stock prices of the American company rose 3.1%.
Capitalization of Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc (NASDAQ: REGN). Increased by 0.2% due to the strong financial statements of the pharmaceutical company for the past quarter.
Among the leaders of growth among companies from Dow Jones, in addition to Nike, Walt Disney (NYSE: DIS) (+ 2.6%), United Technologies Corp (NYSE: UTX) were also included. (+ 2.4%) and Cisco Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO) (+ 2.4%).
At the same time, the price of SeaWorld Entertainment shares fell 1.4%, although the theme parks operator posted a profit higher than analysts' expectations in the second quarter. However, the revenue did not reach forecasts.
You can find more information about the stock market, commodity market, and FOREX on the ITRADER site.
This material is considered a marketing communication and does not contain, and should not be construed as containing, investment advice or an investment recommendation or, an offer of or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 84.16% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Legal Information: ITRADER is operated by Hoch Capital Ltd., a Cypriot Investment Firm (CIF), authorized and regulated by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) under the license no. 198/13, in accordance with the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID II).
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Iron ore has risen to the next maximum

Iron ore has risen to the next maximum
On June 13, iron ore prices jumped to the next high of 2019 amid a decline in reserves in China, which is the largest consumer of iron ore. Ore prices with 62% percentage of iron rose by 3.5% to $ 110.2 per ton, according to S&P Global Platts.
https://preview.redd.it/xb0qtkjm33531.jpg?width=770&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d534fb9a0adcb96d97ea09fbe89e0067af4a4eeb
Iron ore is a significant source of revenue for several major mining companies, including Anglo American (LON: AAL), BHP, Rio Tinto (LON: RIO) and Vale. The last time iron ore was trading at the highs celebrated this year, more than five years ago, Financial Times notes
“Iron ore inventories in China continue to fall and should reach critically low levels in the second half of the year, especially if demand improves due to stimulus,” Jefferies analyst Christopher LaFemina said to Financial Times.
Steel production in China has grown this year, surpassing all forecasts, and is expected to continue to rise thanks to a policy of encouraging investment in infrastructure implemented by the government of the country.
At the same time, adverse weather conditions limit the extraction of iron ore in Australia. Also, mining has declined after the accident at the Vale tailing dam in Minas Gerais, Brazil.
According to the Jefferies forecast, the reserves of iron in Chinese ports decreased by 28 million tons over the past two months and amounted to 121.6 million tons at the end of last week, which can cover the current demand for ore for 40 days.
Delivery of iron ore to China from Australia takes 30-35 days, from Brazil 80 days. So, the reserves of iron ore in Chinese ports will soon reach critically low levels.
You can find more information about the cryptocurrency, stock market, and FOREX on the ITRADER site.
This material is considered a marketing communication and does not contain, and should not be construed as containing, investment advice or an investment recommendation or, an offer of or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 87.07% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Legal Information: ITRADER is operated by Hoch Capital Ltd., a Cypriot Investment Firm (CIF), authorized and regulated by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) under the license no. 198/13, in accordance with the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID II).
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Don't buy into this rally. Just a warning. Explanation inside. (/Bitcoin/ banned me for posting this)

90% of people are still 90% down.
This market is not going anywhere, anytime soon.
Before you downvote me.... just for angst or hope against getting your money back. Hear me out.
I made 500% gains in January. Got out. Warned everyone. Tether. Manipulation.
I'll buy when the stops are broken and Eth flash crashes to $0.10 again
You have to consider. It's now September. Last November 2017, Roger Ver was calling for BCH to replace BTC within 6 months. Everyone's prospect about this market has been blinding and extreme, and for the most part upside down/misguided.
When its 9 months into 2018, and were every bi-weekly up/down 30% its unjustified for the current centralized system, to invest in a speculative asset that is becoming increasingly more volatile every month. We should be seeing less volatility. The chances now, of ETF's ever happening become presumibly worse. It's dangerous for regulators to also at this point announce an ETF, just for the simple nature that it will create another positive feedback bubble loop.
I don't know where some of you guys find the extra money under the cushions and couches... to catch what is essentially a falling knife.
God speed to you if Eth is $1000 next year... but...
The technicals are so manipulated, flawed, incoherent.
RSI, MACD, Bolingers, near meaningless, and that's whats scaring away everyone.
We've only had 10 years of track history in crypto, so Im hesitant in treating the system with accurate technicals.
The stock market indices have a track history of 100+ years. After time and stability, measurements, certain indicators were introduced. Bollinger Bands, etc. Do these measurements aid in predicting where BTC or your favorite coin is going? In my opinion, no. Now, its MOMO, Social Media, and #Yacht.
Long term, sure... were still up... or anyone that bought in prior to 2017 basically. So, I guess the moving average, over 10 years - is an okay indicator, but wait....
When AMD announced earnings a few weeks ago - they made a bold statement stating their 3rd/4th quarter revenue on GPU's for crypto would be near zero. Which is a very very bearish stance.
These huge price swings are freaking everyone out. Im not gonna use the "T" word yet..... as is the political climate -- and most politicians simply won't come out and say.... Tulip Mania.
The Dutch East India Company was the largest company of its time, valued at $7.1 adjusted for inflation. All because of... spice... opium... and most of all a bubble in tulips.
I'm more inclinced to study a bubble right now, so much so than the individual coins. But, the system as a whole intrigues me. Regardless if it goes up or down.
It's already been concluded that Tether was behind December's bubble. Academics have already proven this. It's pretty settled, like climate science. Going forward, with that conclusion in mind, put yourself in SEC regulators shoes now. There are too many questions, with not enough answers. There is no transparency. The exchanges, and the transfer of USDT is causing havoc in the system. If Bitfinex is the biggest exhcange in the world by volume, and they've basically had zero banking/shady banking since April of 2017, until "the largest exchange in the world" is put in its place - I honestly just have a fatalistic viewpoint on crypto.
Coinbene pulled off the same trickery. Can you explain the BitForex volume on this picture? This is now. How would one explain this to SEC regulators? https://imgur.com/a/SsNQjFW
The majority of the members in this group are going to be long term bullish on cryptocurrency. I cant untangle that or the get quick rich mentality. The goal is to make money, but also to have discussion; on the flaws of the current marketplace. There are no assurances it will go up.
This isn't the stock market.
This isn't even OTC assets. Not saying Bitcoin or Crypto overall will go to zero. I'm only trying to ascertain my perspective, and pass it onto some of the more bullish investors. I have money in, but more or less sitting on sidelines with majority posted gains. I want to atleast share the other side of the mirror.
Unlike previous, crashes, corrections, there are certainly more variables. In the old days, you didn't have this number of alt coins. You didn't have the type of manipulation, social media advocates (Dennis Rodman; Potcoin; John McCafe). You didn't have Tether. You didn't have exchanges locked out by banks. Or government regulations, or China saying no. You definately had exchanges collapse. Back then, people still looked at Bitcoin as a growth opportunities and this futurisitic way of paying for goods. When China backed out, it changed my perception of the future. Also, everyone thought the transfer of Bitcoin would be free. Turned out, thats a big fat lie. That's why the system was basically built.
The banks and governments have crypto by the balls. And when MJ is legalized in the USA, all the PotCoin whales are just going to dump via Eth. (Joking). The only winners right now, are the exchanges (and circa this post Dogecoin). I still have not seen or heard of any winners in the decentralized era. AuraDao was supposed to be that. It's not.
Anyways, Vitalik B. was quoted the other day as saying we'll never see the 1000x folds again in our lifetime.
Meaning, if we invest today in 60 years we won't be Warren Buffet Jr. I think the overall sentiment is, (Im just speaking for the majority of people) is, people saw a technology. Then saw how the technology was exploited. In an unregulated environement. The sentinment is, unregulated currencies are fatally flawed. So, while they might stick around I think Dec 2017 was a one time only. Bitcoin rose to fame like Rhonda Rhousey. Then she lost. Sure, shes still around.. I guess. :P
~$6200'ish is the break even point for mining BTC profitably (across generational AntMiners). Just thought I'd throw that tidbit out there. You might see some strange 'floors' and 'supports' that look unnatural in the coming days.
At thats the bottom line, cause Stone Cold said so. *Glass breaks*
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Asian shares bounce after losses, dollar sags on weak U.S. CPI

Asian shares bounce after losses, dollar sags on weak U.S. CPI
Shinichi Saoshiro
5 Min Read
Men walk past an electronic board showing market indices outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan, March 2, 2016.Thomas Peter
TOKYO (Reuters) - Asian stocks bounced on Monday after three losing sessions, tracking a firmer Wall Street, while the dollar was weighed down by tensions on the Korean peninsula and weak U.S. inflation data which dampened prospects of another Federal Reserve interest rate hike later this year.
Overall reaction was subdued to Monday's Chinese data which were generally weaker than forecast, and reinforced views that the world's second-largest economy is starting to lose a bit of steam as lending costs rise and the property market cools.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS was up 0.7 percent. The index had fallen for three straight days previously, losing a combined 3 percent, on escalating tensions between the United States and North Korea.
Australian stocks rose 0.5 percent and South Korea's KOSPI .KS11 climbed 0.4 percent.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng .HSI was up 0.8 percent and Shanghai .SSEC added 0.2 percent.
China's factory output in July grew 6.4 percent from a year earlier, short of the 7.2 percent forecast, while fixed-asset investment expanded 8.3 percent in the first seven months against expectations for growth of 8.6 percent.
Geopolitical risks were expected to remain a key theme for the global markets in the near term, as North Korea celebrates Liberation Day on Tuesday to mark the end of Japanese rule.
Investors also braced for tensions ahead of Aug. 21, when an annual joint U.S.-South Korean military exercise is due to begin.
"Due to caution towards a further escalation in tensions over North Korea, U.S. yields and equities are expected to decline and the yen is likely keep appreciating this week," said Masafumi Yamamoto, chief forex strategist at Mizuho Securities in Tokyo.
Japan's Nikkei .N225 bucked the trend and fell 1 percent as a stronger yen overshadowed much better-than-expected second quarter economic growth.
The three major U.S. stocks indexes snapped three days of losses and ended higher on Friday, as investors bet on slower U.S. rate hikes following weaker-than-expected consumer price data. But gains were muted by increasingly aggressive exchanges between Washington and Pyongyang. [.N]
U.S. Treasury yields, which already declined on the North Korean concerns, fell further on Friday on the soft U.S. consumer prices data. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield US10YT=RR touched 2.182 percent on Friday, its lowest since late June, before pulling back a little to 2.204 percent on Monday.
Friday's data showed the U.S. consumer price index edged up just 0.1 percent last month after it was unchanged in June. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the CPI rising 0.2 percent in July.
The dollar index against a basket of six major currencies was flat at 93.076 .DXY after it slipped about 0.4 percent on Friday.
The greenback traded slightly higher at 109.370 yen JPY= after slipping to 108.720 on Friday, its weakest since April 20.
The yen tends to gain in times of geopolitical tension on expectations that Japanese investors will repatriate assets.
It also showed little reaction to second-quarter gross domestic product data which revealed that the economy expanded for a sixth straight quarter led by private consumption and capital expenditure.
While growth was faster than expected, it is not expected to nudge the Bank of Japan into dismantling its massive stimulus program any time soon, as inflation remains stubbornly weak.
The euro was 0.1 percent higher at $1.1824 EUR=.
Crude oil prices edged down after rising slightly on Friday on lower U.S. crude stocks, instability in major producer Nigeria and strong global demand growth. [O/R]
U.S. crude CLc1 was down 2 cents at $48.80 a barrel and Brent LCOc1 was 7 cents lower at $52.03 a barrel.
Gold hovered near a two-month high, benefiting from the U.S.-North Korean tensions and Friday's weak U.S. inflation data. The dollar's recent weakness was also seen to be helping gold.
Spot gold XAU= was a shade lower at $1,287.51 an ounce after reaching $1,291.86 on Friday, its highest level since June 7.
Other precious metals such as silver XAG= and platinum XPT= were also buoyant.
Reporting by Shinichi Saoshiro; Editing by Lisa Twaronite and Kim Coghill
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china rose indicator - YouTube

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